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Hope still exists for Turkey-PKK detente, despite deadly attack

Hope still exists for Turkey-PKK detente, despite deadly attack

Istanbul, Turkey – The sight of Devlet Bahceli, the leader of the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) walking across the floor of the Turkish parliament on October 1 and shaking hands with politicians from a pro-Kurdish party, DEM, was an unlikely one. The MHP leader, a close ally of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has been a vociferous opponent of Kurdish demands for more rights. He has referred to Kurdish politicians as “terrorists,” accusing them of links to the PKK, an armed group that is listed as a “terrorist organisation” by Turkey and the West. He also called for DEM’s predecessor to be banned. The promise of new peace negotiations between Turkey and the Kurdish fighters who have waged a 40-year rebellion was called into question last month after an attack on an aerospace plant near the capital Ankara. Bahceli later said his gesture was a “message of national unity and fraternity”. Weeks later, he raised the possibility that PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan, who has been serving a life sentence since 1999, could be granted parole if he renounced violence and disbanded his organisation. And then, the very next day on October 23, an attack on the TUSAS aerospace and defence company, which killed five people and left the two assailants dead, threatened to reverse the baby steps that had been taken. TUSAS manufactures civilian and military aircraft, including unmanned drones that have been crucial in combating the PKK, which has fought a war against the Turkish state since the 1980s, as part of an effort to claim more autonomy for Kurds living in southeastern Turkey. The PKK claimed responsibility for the TUSAS attack two days later. Its statement said the raid was not related to the latest “political agenda” but had been planned long before because TUSAS weapons “killed thousands of civilians, including children and women, in Kurdistan”. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Devlet Bahceli, leader of the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), attend a Republic Day event to mark the republic’s 101st anniversary in Ankara, Turkey, on October 29, 2024 [Murat Kula/Presidential Press Office/Handout via Reuters] ‘Historic window of opportunity’ And yet, the attack may not be the death knell for the potential rapprochement as some initially feared. Instead, there seem to be elements of an underlying desire by both sides to push towards a solution to a protracted conflict that has killed tens of thousands. DEM quickly made it clear that they opposed the TUSAS attack, condemning it and saying that it was “meaningful” that it took place “when Turkish society is talking about a solution and the possibility of dialogue is emerging”. Even after the attack, Erdogan himself described the developments as an “unparalleled opportunity”. While commending Bahceli’s “will to focus on the right path” in an October 30 speech, the president said, “Those who read the calls of the MHP chairman in this context see the historic window of opportunity.” DEM is now reportedly trying to arrange a formal structure for peace negotiations involving senior figures from across the political parties. Ibrahim Akin, a DEM Party MP, described Bahceli’s remarks about Ocalan as a “sign of a new era” and an indication of the government’s approach. “However, there are still many things that are uncertain and cause hesitation,” he said. “We want a transparent process to be carried out in which all parties and all political actors are included.” Supporters of the pro-Kurdish DEM Party display flags with a portrait of jailed PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan during a rally to celebrate Newroz, which marks the arrival of spring, in Istanbul, Turkey, on March 17, 2024 [Umit Bektas/Reuters] Rationale Following the Ankara attack, Turkey launched a wave of air strikes against the PKK in Iraq and Syria. The group has directed its operations in Turkey from northern Iraq’s Qandil Mountains since the late 1990s. The Turkish military has severely curtailed PKK activity inside Turkey in recent years through the establishment of dozens of bases on the Iraqi side of the border and cross-border air strikes. In northeast Syria, meanwhile, Turkey has also targeted the PKK-affiliated People’s Defence Units (YPG), which the United States has supported since 2015 in the fight against ISIL (ISIS), providing weapons and training. American support for the Kurdish armed group strained Turkey’s relations with the US. While Turkey does not recognise any separation between the PKK and YPG, most Western states have declined to list the latter as a “terrorist” group. Speaking after the TUSAS attack, Erdogan said the two PKK assailants had crossed into Turkey from Syria, implicating the YPG. Some commentators see the rationale behind the latest push for talks as Erdogan’s desire to amend Turkey’s current constitution, which would not allow him to run for office again unless early elections are called. DEM – the third-largest party in parliament – could provide valuable backing. “The ruling coalition will probably try to amend the constitution to remove Erdogan’s time limits,” said Berk Esen, a political scientist at Istanbul’s Sabanci University. “They probably want to divide the opposition coalition and co-opt, if not directly the Kurdish political movement, then at least some Kurdish voters, particularly conservative Kurdish voters in southeastern Anatolia.” The idea of a deal between the Turkish government under Erdogan and the PKK is not as far-fetched as it perhaps might first seem. Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AK Party) made a strong effort in its early years in power in the 2000s to give more rights to Kurds in Turkey, who had long been a marginalised group. A peace process launched in 2013 appeared, at times, to come close to success before failing in 2015. The current move also comes at a time of extreme turmoil in the Middle East. US support for Israel has reportedly unsettled Kurdish groups, including the PKK, which has historical ties to Palestinian armed groups. DEM is highly critical of Israeli actions in Gaza and Lebanon. A second Donald Trump presidency would also likely see US troops pulled from Syria, removing protection for

Conservative Christians, Israel and the US vote

Conservative Christians, Israel and the US vote

Trump and the Republican party continue to connect with several segments of Christian voters, a diverse group of denominations that spans racial identities and political perspectives. A Pew Research poll released in September found Trump commanded 82 percent of white evangelical Protestant voters, 58 percent of white non-evangelical Protestant voters, and 52 percent of Catholics. Harris, meanwhile, had 86 percent of support among Black Protestants, a group that has long skewed heavily Democratic. Those numbers are especially significant in a swing state like Georgia, which carries 16 Electoral votes and went to US President Joe Biden in 2020 by less than 12,000 votes. It was the first time the state had gone to a Democratic presidential candidate in 18 years. White evangelical Protestants – themselves divided into several sub-denominations – account for 38 percent of Georgia’s population. That is by far the largest segment of any religious group, followed by Black Protestants at 17 percent. Cindye and Stan Coates say they do not agree with the emphasis on Israel support from Republicans ahead of the vote [Joseph Stepansky/Al Jazeera] Evangelicals remain some of the staunchest supporters of Israel, according to a recent analysis of polling by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs. The entrenched support is rooted, in part, in some segments of the denomination that believe that Jewish people must be in control of Jerusalem for the second coming of Jesus, which will beckon in the Rapture, when living and dead Christians alike will rise to heaven. Polls have shown that up to 82 percent of white evangelical Protestants believe that Israel was given to the Jewish people by God, according to the analysis. The group is the most supportive of Israel out of all Christian denominations – at least 60 percent say they fully oppose putting any arms restrictions on Israel, while 64 percent believe that Israel’s actions in Gaza are justified. But the polls also show a more complicated story: Thirty-three percent of White evangelicals say they support some form of restrictions on aid to Israel, with another 11 percent reporting that they feel Israel has gone too far in the war on Gaza. That may be a reflection of wider trends within the Republican party, with a Data for Progress poll in October showing 52 percent of Republicans aged 18 to 29 supported an arms embargo on Israel. Speaking to Al Jazeera after buying a black “Make America Great Again” bucket hat in Austell, 20-year-old voter Troy said he was among those who were uncomfortable with continued aid to Israel, which he broadly categorised with other forms of foreign assistance, including large transfers to Ukraine amid Russia’s invasion. “I don’t really understand why Israel is that big of an issue in this election cycle,” said Troy, who declined to give his last name, but identified himself as an Anabaptist Protestant. “I don’t think the United States should be so involved in anything overseas like that. We keep sending billions to Ukraine, there are still people reeling from the hurricane that came through,” he said, referring to Hurricane Helene, which ravaged Georgia in September. For his part, Trump has framed himself as a “protector” of Israel, even as he has broadly claimed that the October 7 attack on southern Israel, which killed at least 1,139 people, and the war that has spiralled since would not have happened on his watch. Still, speaking during a debate in July, he said US President Joe Biden should allow Israel to “finish the job” in Gaza, and has also claimed to speak to Netanyahu on a near daily basis. Adblock test (Why?)

Top House committee subpoenas Biden admin for docs on faulty border cameras: ‘National security threat’

Top House committee subpoenas Biden admin for docs on faulty border cameras: ‘National security threat’

FIRST ON FOX: The House Homeland Security Committee has subpoenaed the Biden administration for documents related to what it says is a failure to operate and maintain surveillance cameras at the southern border after it did not receive a response to its demands for answers. Chairman Mark Green has issued a subpoena for documents and information requested on Oct. 16 relating to the working of Border Patrol’s Integrated Fixed Towers and Remote Video Surveillance System-Upgrade (RVSS-U) camera programs.  “The exigency of this national security threat demands solutions from the Department, U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), and Congress,” an accompanying letter to Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas says. WHISTLEBLOWERS CLAIM BORDER PATROL SURVEILLANCE CAMERAS ‘OUT OF SERVICE’ AS GOP DEMANDS ANSWERS FROM DHS Sources had told the committee that more than 66% of the RVSS-U cameras are inoperable, and maintenance is sometimes performed by non-U.S. citizens, which could be a violation of security policy. Whistleblowers had told the committee that some of the busiest Southwest border sectors have nearly 50 or more cameras offline with multiple towers that have been out of service for more than a year. “The failure to maintain camera operability in surveillance towers presents a grave national security threat. In the last four years, the Biden-Harris Administration’s disastrous border security and immigration policies have resulted in CBP encountering more than 8.4 million individuals at the U.S.-Mexico border, more than 10.4 million nationwide, and the escape of more than two million known gotaways into the interior of the United States,” Green said. “The Committee is deeply concerned that if nearly two-thirds of USBP’s remote surveillance tower cameras are inoperable, the total number of aliens that entered or will enter the United States without screening or vetting may be much greater than reported.” BORDER PATROL FACING LARGE-SCALE SURVEILLANCE CAMERA OUTAGE WITH ‘SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS’: REPORT Green said that DHS responded to the request by promising an Oct. 30 briefing to begin answering the questions, but documents were not provided, and the department later said the briefing “was not intended to be responsive” to that request. “The Committee requires the documents, information, and data compelled by the attached subpoena to fully evaluate potential legislation concerning both the standards of operability for USBP surveillance towers and the standards of contractor eligibility for contracts involving the maintenance and operation of USBP surveillance towers,” the letter says. NBC News had reported that an October memo said nearly one-third of cameras, roughly 150 of 500 cameras on surveillance towers, were out due to technical issues.  The RVSS cameras are nearly 15 years old and are used to monitor areas of the border without the need for regular on the ground patrols. Agents also rely on a variety of detection and surveillance, including AI-powered towers, as well as helicopters, K-9s, the border wall and the agents themselves. Agents have noted the helpfulness of the automated surveillance towers, which are more advanced and use AI to track migrants and help agents locate them. CBP has deployed more than 300 of the towers. Officials say that RVSS is an old, costly system requiring regular maintenance and dedicated staff to monitor the cameras. That is opposed to the newer systems that use AI and provide alerts to agents in real time. A CBP spokesperson told Fox this month that CBP “utilizes a multilayered approach, including advances in technology to enhance border security along the southern, northern, and coastal/maritime environments.” CLICK HERE FOR MORE COVERAGE OF THE BORDER SECURITY CRISIS “While older technology like the Remote Video Surveillance Systems (RVSS) have been helpful operational tools for more than 15 years, they require significant maintenance and upgrades as they pass the end of their planned lifecycle. As systems go down, CBP works to resolve the issue by refreshing systems with new camera optics or replaces them entirely with a combination of mobile tower systems, aerial platforms, relocatable tower systems, and fixed observation posts to provide coverage in critical areas,” they said. “CBP continues to install newer, more advanced technology that embrace artificial intelligence and machine learning to replace outdated systems, reducing the need to have agents working non-interdiction functions within a local command center. To date, CBP has deployed 305 Automated Surveillance Towers (ASTs) and will deploy an additional 15 recently purchased Integrated Surveillance Towers (ISTs) in the coming months.” However, the situation has brought criticism from the National Border Patrol Council, which said it impacts agent safety. “Once again, we have another situation of ineptness from this administration, and it continues to show how out of touch DHS leadership is. Not only does this have an impact on the country by not knowing who or what is coming in, it also impacts the safety of the agents working the front lines,” said Art Del Cueto, vice president of the National Border Patrol Council.  It comes days before the presidential election, where border security has been a top issue for voters, and both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have sought to position themselves as the candidate best suited to secure the border after a yearslong migrant crisis. Fox News’ Bill Melugin and Stepheny Price contributed to this report.

Rural Georgia counties outpace Dem strongholds as Peach State shatters early voting records

Rural Georgia counties outpace Dem strongholds as Peach State shatters early voting records

Rural Georgians are voting early at a higher rate than those living in Democratic-leaning counties that were key to President Biden flipping the state blue in 2020, the most recent data show. Of the state’s 159 counties, the top 23 for absentee and early in-person voter turnout were won by former President Donald Trump in 2020, according to the state’s elections website. That includes the rural counties of Towns, Oconee and Rabun – which have seen 69.06%, 65.51%, and 64.46% of their active voters already casting ballots, respectively. Towns County voters outpaced the Georgia county average early turnout rate by roughly 15%, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported. ‘ADMIRES DICTATORS’: HARRIS CONTINUES COMPARING TRUMP TO HITLER DURING BATTLEGROUND STATE TOWN HALL That includes suburban blue-leaning Cobb County and Gwinnett County, as well as the Democratic stronghold of Fulton County – home to Atlanta. Of Fulton County’s active voters, 53.51% cast ballots before Election Day. Georgia has smashed early voting records since early voting began on Oct. 15. On Wednesday evening, state officials announced that more than half of the state’s total active voters have already cast ballots. Turnout in several rural areas that favored Trump is already close to total 2020 turnout, projections show.  Atlanta metro-area counties that voted for Biden are still significantly larger than rural areas with higher turnout, however.  ‘ILLEGAL, UNCONSTITUTIONAL AND VOID’: GEORGIA JUDGE STRIKES DOWN NEW ELECTION RULES AFTER LEGAL FIGHTS Nearly 385,000 Fulton County voters cast early in-person ballots, followed by 275,207 from Gwinnett County and 271,426 from Cobb County. By contrast, just under 7,000 Towns County residents voted in person during Georgia’s early voting period, which runs through Friday, Nov. 1. Regardless, the spike in early voting in rural parts of Georgia could be a sign that Trump and Republicans have been successful in their efforts to gin up enthusiasm among their base. It also could change perceptions of the way analysts and predictors interpret voter turnout – traditionally, early voting would heavily favor Democrats while an Election Day surge could help Republicans. GEORGIA GOP CHAIR SHARES 2-PRONGED ELECTION STRATEGY AS TRUMP WORKS TO WIN BACK PEACH STATE Dave Wasserman, of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, noted on X that early turnout in some rural red Georgia counties was on track to match their total turnout, but said it was not necessarily an indicator of who would win. “It’s notable that a place like Towns Co. (Trump +61 in ’20) is at 92% of its final ’20 turnout, while Clayton Co. (Biden +71) is at 69% of its ’20 turnout,” he wrote on X. “Doesn’t tell us who will win GA, just that Dems have more work to do than Rs to turn out their vote in the final days.” Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital election hub. 

Poll of Georgia, North Carolina likely voters finds Trump, Harris nearly tied

Poll of Georgia, North Carolina likely voters finds Trump, Harris nearly tied

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck and neck in the vital battleground states of Georgia and North Carolina, according to two new CNN polls conducted by SSRS. In Georgia, Trump edges Harris among likely voters, 48% to 47%, while in North Carolina the results are reversed, with Harris leading 48% to Trump’s 47%. The results are within the margin of error in both states. Trump has won North Carolina twice, in 2016 by nearly four percentage points and in 2020 by just over one point. In the last 20 years, former President Barack Obama was the only Democrat to win North Carolina, and that was by less than half a point in 2008. The Tar Heel state has 16 electoral college votes.  TRUMP LEADS HARRIS IN GEORGIA 2 WEEKS FROM ELECTION DAY, POLL FINDS Trump held a rally Wednesday afternoon in Rocky Mount, North Carolina, while Harris made her case in North Carolina’s capital, Raleigh, underlining how important that state will be in deciding who the next president is. Trump’s running mate, Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio, is in North Carolina today for a “Gen Z Town Hall.” The CNN/SSRS North Carolina poll comes after a Fox News survey showed Trump ahead by 49%-47% among likely voters, while third-party candidates received 4%. The previous Fox News survey of North Carolina voters, released in September, also had Trump favored by just a touch among likely voters and Harris narrowly up among registered voters. Meanwhile, a poll conducted by the Atlanta Journal-Constitution and the University of Georgia last week found Trump at 47% support in the state, compared to Harris’ 43%. The Peach state also has 16 electoral college votes.  President Biden narrowly edged Trump in Georgia in 2020 to become the first Democrat to carry the state in a White House race in nearly 30 years, since former President Bill Clinton in 1992. The CNN/SSRS polls released Thursday found that an overwhelming 95% of likely voters in each state now say they’ve made up their minds about their vote, with more than half of the likely electorate in both Georgia (59%) and North Carolina (52%) saying they have already cast their ballots.  FOX NEWS POLL: TRUMP STILL NARROWLY AHEAD OF HARRIS IN NORTH CAROLINA Harris has a seven-point margin in Georgia among those who have already voted, and she is six points clear in North Carolina, according to the CNN/SSRS polls.  Roughly two-thirds of Harris backers in both states say they are mostly voting to support Harris, rather than to oppose Trump. Higher majorities of Trump voters in both states – 81% in Georgia and 75% in North Carolina – say their vote is primarily about support for the former president, rather than opposition to Harris.  In North Carolina, Trump leads by seven points among men and Harris is ahead by nine points among women. In Georgia, men favor Trump by the same margin, but women are closer to evenly split (49% favor Harris, 47% Trump). Harris leads among Black likely voters in both states too by significant margins, 84% to 13% in Georgia and 78% to 19% in North Carolina. The vice president also leads among voters with college degrees, 55% to 39% in Georgia and by 53% to 42% in North Carolina, the CNN/SSRS polls found. White college graduates split about evenly in both states with 50% for Harris compared to 47% for Trump in North Carolina, and 48% to Trump in Georgia compared to Harris’ 46%. Trump holds a commanding lead, 81% to 15%, among White voters without college degrees in Georgia. He leads that group by a less overwhelming margin, 65% to 31%, in North Carolina. The White House’s response to Hurricane Helene trends poorly with 42% of likely voters in Georgia approving its response, but just 36% of respondents in North Carolina say they approve of the way the Biden administration has handled the disaster.  In the race for North Carolina governor, Democrat Josh Stein holds a sizeable lead over Republican Mark Robinson, 53% to 37%, among likely voters.  The polls were conducted online and by telephone from Oct. 23 through Oct. 28 with 732 voters polled in Georgia and 750 in North Carolina. The margin of error is 4.7% in both states among likely voters.  Fox News’ Dana Blanton and Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report. 

Harris holds narrow lead over Trump in ‘blue wall’ states Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin: poll

Harris holds narrow lead over Trump in ‘blue wall’ states Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin: poll

A slew of new polls show Vice President Kamala Harris taking a narrow lead over former President Donald Trump in the “blue wall” states many forecasters say she needs to win to clinch the presidency.  Marist polls of battlegrounds Michigan and Pennsylvania released on Friday have the Democratic vice president ahead of her Republican rival by two points in each state, 50% to 48%. A third poll of Wisconsin voters shows Harris with a three percentage point lead, 51-48%.  All these results are within the Marist polls’ margins of error, plus or minus 3.4 points for the Michigan and Pennsylvania polls and plus or minus 3.5 points for the Wisconsin survey. The surveys were conducted between Oct. 27-30.  HARRIS-TRUMP SHOWDOWN: IN NATION’S BIGGEST BATTLEGROUND, NEW POLLS SHOW ‘IT’S REALLY, REALLY CLOSE’ The numbers point toward another historically close election next Tuesday following the 2020 cycle, when just 44,000 votes spread across key battleground states handed President Biden the Electoral College votes he needed to unseat Trump. Similarly, in 2016, Trump captured the White House by just under 78,000 votes in the three “blue wall” states.  The small leads Harris holds are credited to independent voters, who appear to be moving in her direction in the final days of the election. Harris opened up a six-point lead over Trump among independents in Michigan, 52-46%, improving from a two-point lead in September. She also improved from a four-point edge with Wisconsin independents in early September to a six-point lead at the end of October. HARRIS LAYS OUT HER CLOSING ARGUMENT AGAINST TRUMP WITH THE WHITE HOUSE AS A BACKDROP However, the most dramatic swing comes in Pennsylvania, where Marist finds a 19-point shift among independents, with Harris at 55% and Trump at 40% compared to September, when Trump led Harris among independents 49-45%. “The Keystone State is the biggest prize of the three highly competitive so-called Blue Wall states,” said Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. “The good news for Harris is she is running stronger among independents and white voters than Biden did four years ago. The bad news is the gender gap is not as wide here as it was in 2020 or, in fact, where it is elsewhere now.” HARRIS, TRUMP, MAKE FINAL PITCHES TO VOTERS IN HIGH STAKES BATTLEGROUND More surveys released Friday show a tight race. A new USA Today/Suffolk poll finds Harris and Trump tied in Pennsylvania with 49% of the vote each, according to a statewide poll of 500 likely voters conducted from Oct. 27 to 30 with a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points. David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, called the race a “toss up.”  “We have all the results within the margin of error … it’s basically a statistical tie,” Paleologos said, according to USA Today. Additionally, the final Detroit Free Press poll of likely Michigan voters shows Harris with a three-percentage-point lead over Trump, strengthened by support from women and Black voters, although the margin is still within the poll’s plus or minus 4-point margin of error.  The Rust Belt states that comprise the Democratic Party’s “blue wall” collectively are worth 44 Electoral College votes. Pennsylvania is the largest prize with 19 votes, Michigan has 15 and Wisconsin holds 10.  If Harris can win Pennsylvania and one other “blue wall” state, Trump would need to sweep the other swing states, which include the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, to win the White House.  Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more at our Fox News Digital election hub.